Keane observations about life, politics and sports.

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

2010 Mid-Term Senate Race - Connecticut

Over the next year or so I'll do updates on the 2010 mid-term elections. Most of the updates will be of senate races though a few key or surprising house races may get some attention.

The first, surprisingly concerns a long time incumbent - Senator Chris Dodd of Connecticut. Normally, senate incumbent are safe particularly in states that consistently vote for the incumbent's political party. Such is the case with Sen. Dodd. Next year he will be finishing his fifth full term in the senate representing a state that has fairly reliably voted Democrat. However, Sen. Dodd has been under a major ethical cloud over the past year and now appears particularly vulnerable.

Exacerbating Dodd's problems is that his perceived ethical lapses are easily connected to our current economic troubles. As the mortgage industry was falling apart creating a headache for the entire credit market, it was revealed that Dodd received a special, below market rate, mortgage from Countrywide Financial. Even if one was inclined to give Dodd the benefit of doubt (which I'm not) it is hard to imagine the powerful Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee receiving a special loan as anything but a serious conflict of interest if not tantamount to a bribe. That is just the tip of the iceberg of troubles for Dodd. Last week he looked and acted guilty in the back and forth over who modified the "Stimulus" bill to ensure the AIG executives received bonuses. That was quickly used in commercials harping on the fact that Dodd and President Obama were the largest recipients of AIG campaign donations. Here is a link to an article detailing some of his other scandals including a shady deal for a mansion in Ireland.

Current projection: 70% chance for Republican pick up unless Dodd doesn't run for reelection. If Dodd decides not to run again then I'd rate this a safe Dem retention.

Trivia: The last time a "Republican" won a U.S. Senate seat from Connecticut it was after Dodd's father chose not to run for reelection after his own ethical lapses. Hmmm, what's that they say about apples not falling far from trees?

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2 Comments:

Blogger Ben said...

I'll believe Dodd loses when I see it. This is Connecticut after all. Im not doubting it could be a competitive race, but I certianly wouldnt count on dodd going down.

April 8, 2009 at 7:42 PM

 
Blogger Matthew Mulligan said...

Dodd has an army of folks on the ground to do the dirty work. He will have ACORN intimidating the opposition and will come up with other AIG-type companies that he can shake down for campaign funds.

Still, the people of CT should be smarter this time around. Being a Liberal is okay if that is what the folks want. (Lieberman is an honorable lefty.) Having such a deceitful liar representing you and your state should be unacceptable. We'll watch how the good folks in CT see it.

April 9, 2009 at 1:51 PM

 

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